Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2720.956796 2947.910388 3178.418943 3429.744397 3695.725947 3968.518485 4269.120776
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2313.540481 2645.875963 2996.765638 3393.624753 3828.756636 4290.109062 4814.996269
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2091.531054 2489.710676 2922.217546 3424.394236 3988.843516 4601.150051 5312.988389
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1903.631533 2345.762624 2837.805542 3421.864574 4091.994378 4832.645198 5708.809188
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1788.592985 2270.931224 2819.014278 3481.864754 4255.578052 5123.996973 6166.013174
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1645.336501 2150.804922 2736.849899 3458.368898 4314.330663 5288.996139 6473.980256
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1572.879351 2108.557017 2740.458203 3530.308564 4480.189829 5574.841365 6920.235632
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1483.064258 2038.445280 2704.842406 3550.203159 4580.308801 5781.117512 7272.305372
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1394.620214 1964.185047 2658.981952 3552.952939 4656.015653 5955.879191 7585.776514
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1265.444295 1830.844075 2533.160317 3450.810447 4598.431217 5966.518590 7699.638681
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1243.492594 1834.432259 2578.091154 3560.463916 4800.766145 6291.375887 8193.260648
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1208.916210 1818.964448 2596.820855 3635.702081 4959.812777 6563.952274 8625.141262
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1142.450317 1758.714520 2556.481954 3635.396617 5025.367095 6724.585995 8925.244927
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1065.403792 1680.331473 2489.162267 3597.444999 5041.204180 6822.668640 9148.547913
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1021.325946 1645.094367 2476.934843 3629.591844 5145.411224 7030.546734 9508.541380
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 967.567602 1593.377869 2440.042988 3626.949031 5203.061467 7179.006719 9794.388194
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 940.924419 1578.949146 2452.718959 3689.627361 5345.519101 7435.382420 10217.390750
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 885.960734 1520.576145 2402.365586 3665.084146 5371.695489 7542.410320 10451.287511
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 867.861503 1515.569995 2425.601420 3740.225022 5529.817215 7819.451302 10902.976828
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 833.288958 1484.134357 2410.119309 3761.001988 5614.779962 8002.020429 11234.735724
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 795.197496 1445.491556 2382.737942 3763.873629 5674.715066 8151.709487 11524.634703
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 726.660152 1356.437550 2279.419836 3657.188387 5583.302715 8101.015664 11553.457817
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 726.155525 1374.228358 2332.228307 3771.717346 5794.773285 8450.378451 12104.758025